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Kamala Harris is seeing mixed results with key voter groups, yet she holds a small national lead over Donald Trump. Despite struggling with younger voters, she is performing particularly well among seniors— a demographic where Democrats have typically struggled. Harris may be the first Democrat to win voters aged 65 and older since Al Gore in 2000. Recent national polls, including the CNN/SSRS poll, show her leading Trump 50% to 46% among seniors, reversing Trump’s previous lead over Biden among this group in 2020.Kamala Harris
This shift is significant as senior citizens form a larger portion of the electorate and tend to vote at higher rates than younger voters. Polls show seniors making up about 29% of the electorate, compared to only 13% for voters under 30. This age group advantage is growing, with seniors making up a larger share of voters than younger adults in both national and swing state elections.
While Harris is gaining ground with older voters, she’s losing support from younger, Black, and Hispanic voters—groups that Trump is performing unusually well with for a Republican. However, Harris is making up for these losses with increased support from White voters, a larger demographic.
The key question is whether this trade-off will continue to work for Harris or if Trump’s gains with younger, Black, and Hispanic voters will offset her success with White and older voters. Regardless, it appears that the electorate may be less divided by age and race than in previous elections.
